AISEEKER

In the first scenario, if Trump is re-elected, being someone who is self-centered and driven by wealth, he might prioritize personal and family interests, implementing tax reduction policies and potentially clashing with the international community. This would likely trigger strong opposition from various interest groups, multiple lawsuits, and impeachment threats, possibly even threats to the safety of his family (e.g., acts of violence), which could lead to his resignation. For Trump, proving that he can be re-elected would be enough; to protect his family’s interests, he might step down from office. Additionally, Ivanka might run for election as a Democratic candidate. What might seem like betrayal would actually be a strategy for maximizing family benefits, a form of “hate balancing” that aligns with voter sentiment and public perception. Simultaneously, such developments could accelerate a wave of emigration from China.

In the second scenario, if Trump is not re-elected, heightened beliefs and antagonism, combined with global debt pressures and high taxation policies expected in 2025, would spur an exodus of wealthy elites and businesses from the U.S. This could catalyze the push for state independence, with Texas—a state with the largest amount of privately owned land—potentially leading the charge by implementing its independent tax policies. Figures like Elon Musk, who might have backed the wrong candidate and has ties to China, could also participate. Meanwhile, Ivanka may replace Trump as the next Republican candidate, positioning herself strategically and preparing for future electoral advantages, which explains her current low profile.

Regardless, the presidential election is only the tip of the iceberg; the real focus lies on the congressional elections for the House and Senate. Any imbalance in power could potentially lead to divisions within the U.S. Meanwhile, the shift in global investment hubs might point toward emerging markets like Hong Kong and the Middle East.